Folgore vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
4 - 1
FIO
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 0
FAE
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
TPE
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
14%
24%
62%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 2
FOL
16%
21%
64%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
VIR
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
TFI
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 1
SGI
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 2
FOL
16%
21%
64%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |