Folgore vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 2
TPE
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 0
DOM
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
LIB
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 3
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
SGI
76%
17%
8%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
TPE
3 - 1
VIR
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 1
MUR
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |