Folgore vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SGI
1 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
65%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | -3 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
JUV
61%
21%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 2
FOL
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
4 - 0
MUR
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 4
TPE
20%
21%
59%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
TPE
3 - 1
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -4 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
COS
2 - 1
TPE
11%
16%
73%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
COS
1 - 2
TPE
18%
23%
60%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +4 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
TPE
5 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | +1 |