Folgore vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 0
FIO
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TFI
1 - 3
FOL
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 3
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
DOM
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 3
FOL
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TPE
1 - 3
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TFI
0 - 4
TPE
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 3
TPE
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 0
TPE
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 4
TPE
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |