Folgore vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
54.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 0
FIO
16%
24%
59%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIO
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
SMA
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
TFI
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 0
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 1
TFI
14%
23%
62%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
2 - 1
TPE
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
13%
23%
65%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |