Coppa Titano Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Folgore vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FAE
4 - 1
FOL
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 2
FOL
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
SGI
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TFI
3 - 1
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TFI
5 - 1
JUV
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TFI
5 - 0
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 0
FAE
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FAE
3 - 3
TFI
10%
21%
69%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TFI
3 - 1
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |