Folgore vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
VAL
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 0
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
FAE
2 - 1
FOL
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
TPE
2 - 2
FOL
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 0
PEN
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TFI
0 - 3
FIO
21%
20%
60%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
TFI
3 - 1
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
TFI
4 - 0
FAE
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
COS
3 - 2
TFI
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -3 |