Folgore vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 0
SGI
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 4
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 1
SGI
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
TFI
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 2
TFI
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 0
TFI
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 3
TPE
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
TFI
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |