Folgore vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 1
FOL
66%
18%
16%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
DOM
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TFI
4 - 2
VIR
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 2
LIB
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 2
TFI
27%
25%
47%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TFI
4 - 1
DOM
80%
15%
6%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |