Folgore vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
62.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
FOL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 2
JUV
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 4
TPE
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 1
FOL
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 2
TFI
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
77%
15%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 1
TFI
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TFI
3 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |