Folgore vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 3
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
PEN
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
34%
26%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAI
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TFI
4 - 1
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TFI
4 - 1
FIO
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
TFI
36%
26%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 0
FAE
62%
20%
17%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
TFI
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |