Folgore vs San Marino Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 0
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 0
CAI
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
25%
24%
52%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 2
SGI
21%
22%
58%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAE
3 - 2
SMA
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 1
LIB
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
FIO
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TFI
4 - 0
SMA
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |