Folgore vs San Marino Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TPE
2 - 1
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 7
MUR
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 0
SMA
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 3
FIO
17%
25%
59%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
3 - 1
SMA
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 5
COS
15%
23%
61%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |