Folgore vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
VIR
60%
22%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TPE
2 - 0
FOL
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
FOL
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 2
FOL
16%
24%
60%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 5
FOL
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
JUV
20%
21%
60%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SGI
1 - 3
TFI
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 1
SGI
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
MUR
27%
23%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TFI
3 - 1
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |