Folgore vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 1
VIR
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAI
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
FOL
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAE
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
COS
1 - 1
SGI
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SGI
4 - 3
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 0
SGI
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
COS
1 - 2
SGI
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 0
TFI
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |