Folgore vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 0
FOL
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TFI
4 - 0
FOL
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 3
MUR
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 4
JUV
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
TPE
5 - 1
SGI
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 0
SGI
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SGI
2 - 4
JUV
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SGI
3 - 1
VIR
18%
23%
60%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SGI
1 - 3
COS
16%
22%
63%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |