Folgore vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
DOM
2 - 2
FOL
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
JUV
0 - 0
FOL
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
FOL
1 - 1
FAE
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 0
SGI
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
SGI
0 - 0
FIO
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
JUV
3 - 1
SGI
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SGI
0 - 4
FAE
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
VIR
4 - 0
SGI
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |