Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TFI
0 - 1
FOL
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DOM
0 - 1
FOL
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
TPE
3 - 2
FOL
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PEN
0 - 4
MUR
16%
23%
61%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 1
PEN
83%
13%
4%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 4
CAI
60%
19%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 1
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
JUV
19%
21%
59%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |