Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 1
FOL
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 4
FOL
51%
26%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 3
FOL
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
DOM
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 3
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
TPE
2 - 1
PEN
61%
24%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |