Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DOM
2 - 2
FOL
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
COS
4 - 1
FOL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
SGI
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 0
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 0
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
TPE
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
54%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 1
LIB
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 3
DOM
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |