Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 4
FIO
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TFI
2 - 0
FOL
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 2
FAE
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
FOL
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FOL
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
FAE
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
PEN
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
TPE
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |