Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
34%
26%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAI
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
FOL
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 5
JUV
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
TFI
36%
26%
37%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 5
VIR
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAI
2 - 1
PEN
16%
21%
63%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SGI
0 - 3
PEN
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |