Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
3 - 0
FIO
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
6 - 1
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 1
TPE
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FAE
2 - 0
FOL
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 1
TFI
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 2
PEN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 3
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 4
PEN
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
TPE
1 - 1
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |