Folgore vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TFI
1 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
TPE
31%
25%
45%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 0
CAI
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 2
FOL
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 4
MUR
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 2
TFI
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
FIO
14%
20%
67%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |