Folgore vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 3
FOL
27%
27%
47%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 0
CAI
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TFI
0 - 0
FOL
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 2
FOL
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAI
3 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 0
MUR
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
MUR
4 - 4
TFI
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 4
LIB
19%
26%
55%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FIO
9 - 0
MUR
81%
12%
6%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | +1 |