Folgore vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 0
FOL
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 2
TFI
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
VAL
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 0
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
FAE
2 - 1
FOL
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TFI
3 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAI
4 - 1
MUR
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
LIB
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |