Folgore vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
FOL
42%
25%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COS
0 - 0
FOL
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
DOM
2 - 1
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 1
FAE
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
4 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |