Folgore vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TPE
3 - 1
FOL
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 1
FOL
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 0
LIB
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
MUR
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 2
MUR
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 4
MUR
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 3
MUR
24%
23%
53%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |