Folgore vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
COS
2 - 5
FOL
11%
22%
68%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 0
FIO
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 0
FOL
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
0 - 4
FOL
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 0
DOM
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 3
FIO
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 1
JUV
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |