Folgore vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 3
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 0
FOL
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TFI
4 - 0
FOL
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 3
MUR
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 0
DOM
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
24%
24%
53%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 3
TPE
26%
23%
52%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |