Folgore vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
5 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
4 - 1
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
FIO
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
SGI
1 - 1
JUV
26%
23%
50%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
VIR
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
TFI
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 1
JUV
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |