Folgore vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 4
TPE
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 1
FOL
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIR
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 0
FAE
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 2
VIR
44%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 1
TFI
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
JUV
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 4
TPE
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
JUV
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | -1 |