Folgore vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
52.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 3
FAE
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
5 - 0
COS
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 0
FOL
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 2
TPE
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 2
TPE
37%
25%
39%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 1
TFI
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 3
DOM
62%
22%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 2
JUV
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |