Folgore vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 1
TPE
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TPE
1 - 0
FOL
63%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
1 - 0
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
TPE
24%
22%
54%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
TPE
0 - 0
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
UEE
2 - 1
FIO
32%
22%
46%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 1
UEE
58%
21%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 3
TPE
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 4
FIO
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |