Folgore vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 1
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
5 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
4 - 1
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
TFI
0 - 1
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 1
FAE
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
4 - 1
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |