Folgore vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 3
COS
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
CAI
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SGI
0 - 5
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 1
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 2
DOM
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FIO
5 - 3
SGI
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 6
FIO
15%
22%
64%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
TPE
2 - 2
FIO
32%
24%
45%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
PEN
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |