Folgore vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
FOL
47%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 3
FOL
25%
26%
48%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 3
FOL
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 2
FOL
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SGI
4 - 2
FOL
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 3
JUV
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 1
TFI
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 4
FIO
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 0
FIO
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
COS
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |