Folgore vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
68.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 4
COS
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 3
FOL
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
FOL
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 2
TFI
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |