Folgore vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TFI
1 - 3
FOL
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 3
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
DOM
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 3
FOL
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 4
SGI
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 0
VIR
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TPE
3 - 0
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 1
TFI
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |