Folgore vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TFI
2 - 0
FOL
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 2
FAE
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
FOL
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FOL
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
JUV
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 3
TPE
25%
24%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 3
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 1
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 2
FIO
15%
18%
67%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |