Folgore vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 1
FOL
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 1
TFI
16%
25%
60%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 0
FOL
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 0
CAI
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TFI
4 - 2
FAE
79%
15%
7%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 1
DOM
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 3
TPE
8%
17%
76%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
FAE
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |