Folgore vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 0
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
TFI
1 - 2
FOL
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
TPE
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
FOL
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
4 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
TPE
3 - 0
FAE
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SGI
1 - 2
FAE
26%
24%
51%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 1
TFI
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |