Folgore vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 2
JUV
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
FOL
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 3
TFI
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
TFI
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TPE
2 - 0
FAE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 1
PEN
38%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 1
FAE
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TPE
1 - 1
FAE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 0
FIO
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |