Folgore vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
COS
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
TFI
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 1
FOL
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FAE
1 - 0
DOM
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TPE
0 - 1
FAE
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |