Folgore vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 3
FOL
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 3
AEK
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
3 - 0
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 1
TPE
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 0
FIO
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DOM
4 - 1
CAI
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 3
TPE
25%
26%
50%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
4 - 1
DOM
41%
23%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |