Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SGI
1 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
JUV
61%
21%
19%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 2
FOL
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
4 - 0
MUR
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 3
FOL
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
COS
2 - 1
TPE
11%
16%
73%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
COS
27%
22%
51%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
COS
1 - 2
TPE
18%
23%
60%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 0
COS
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
COS
5 - 1
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |