Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
TFI
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 1
FOL
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COS
0 - 1
JUV
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
COS
5 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAI
3 - 3
COS
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |