Folgore vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
5 - 0
MUR
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
FOL
42%
25%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COS
0 - 0
FOL
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
DOM
2 - 1
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
1 - 3
DOM
24%
24%
53%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 4
COS
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 3
VIR
27%
24%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 2
LIB
26%
25%
48%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
3 - 1
FAE
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |