Folgore vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 0
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
COS
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
FOL
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 0
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
FIO
38%
24%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
68%
21%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 2
PEN
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |