Folgore vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
FOL
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 5
JUV
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 3
FAE
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
5 - 0
COS
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
VIR
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAI
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAI
2 - 1
PEN
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
TFI
3 - 3
CAI
84%
13%
4%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAI
2 - 2
DOM
23%
25%
51%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |